Can Donald Trump really win a second term?

We’ve been told by the elite (through their emissary, Lindsey Williams) that seven years of plenty, prosperity, and general good times are coming to the USA because Donald J. Trump will make it happen. The elite powerbrokers are powerless to stop it.

These same elite also admit to being powerless to stop a second term for the President. That’s why they are confident the financial boom will last a full seven years. But really, can Donald J. Trump win a second term as POTUS?

Approval Ratings

Such certainty about a second term for Trump runs contrary to what the evening news is telling us. Their reports hold that the President’s approval rating was 42% in January 2018, up from a record low of 32% in December 2017. His approval number crosses the 50% line in only 12 states.

Those are dismal approval numbers for any POTUS, but why the record low followed by what must be a near-record single-month jump?

The record low was a result of frustration over Congress not getting anything done. Throughout 2017, efforts to pass the health care reform that had been promised for years earlier faltered one after the other. Nothing else could be done, especially tax reform, we were told, until ObamaCare was addressed.

Then, late in the year, somehow Congress managed to move beyond health care to pick up the President’s tax plan. The new tax law was passed and signed into law before Christmas Day, a giant gift to the American people.

This is why the President’s approval ratings took such a high jump in just one month — the passage of the tax bill. It shows the President is starting to get his agenda passed.

Plus, it’s change people can see in their daily lives. A lot of working Americans are going to see around $1,000 more in their pay over the course of 2018 and every year beyond. Many have already received raises and bonuses — employees of Walmart, Starbucks, and FedEx among them.

As long as people see a little bit more in every paycheck, and Trump continues to move in infrastructure and immigration as promised during the campaign, his approval rating may soon rise to the more normal 50% range.

Remember 2016

Besides all this potential for the President’s approval ratings to rise, we learned in the last election that polls really don’t matter as much anymore.

In their November 7, 2016, report, Poll Position: Where Clinton, Trump Stand on Election Eve, Real Clear Politics wrote:

As of Monday morning, polls show a modest lead for Hillary Clinton . . . Clinton also leads in state polls. If every state voted according to its RCP average, she would win with 297 electoral votes to Trump’s 241, surpassing the needed 270.

That poll-based forecast turned on its head with the President winning 304 electoral votes to Clinton’s 227.

How can polls be so wrong?

Of the dozens of polls tracked, only two consistently predicted a Trump victory: FoxNews and the LA Times. The Telegraph (UK) reports:

The LA Times said that one reason they believe their polling was successful was that they didn’t underestimate Trump’s support, as their online system captured people’s will better than phone polls.

They said: “Trump voters were notably less comfortable about telling a telephone pollster about their vote. Voters who backed a third-party candidate were even less comfortable responding to a poll. Women who said they backed Trump were particularly less likely to say they would be comfortable talking to a pollster about their vote.”

While it was indeed Clinton who won the popular vote, questions will now be asked about why the LA Times was the only polling company to see these “forgotten men and women” and consistently predict Trump’s win.

It is likely that the same is happening with the President’s approval ratings today. This failure on the part of the polls to catch the real opinion of Americans, along with rising approval ratings due to tax cuts already on the books and legislation on infrastructure and immigration to come, shows excellent prospects for a second Trump term — and seven years of plenty for the USA.


More in the series:

Seven years of plenty — Good times for USA 2018 to 2025?

What’s in your MAGA?


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *